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TDI Podcast: Yentervention (#835)
Some old adages work – Sell Rosh Hashana – But what about Buying Yom Kippur? Market Sell-Off deepens as the Fed grows more hawkish. Some Buying opportunities emerging… Our guest – Chris Vecchio Head of Futures and Forex at Tastylive Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Chris Vecchio is  currently the Head […]

TDI Podcast: Energy Transitions (#834)
CPI Hot – PPI Hot – but markets shrug it off. ECB raised rates 0.25% in a semi-surprising move. Blackout period continues for the Fed ahead of next week’s rate meeting – what a relief. And our guest this week – Eric Townsend, Host of the MacroVoices podcast Check this out and find out more […]

TDI Podcast: Dow Theory and Trends (#833)
The squirmy squirrelly market continues – China finally  figured it out – not pretty Oil up, stocks down, dollar up, VIX down just around 13 – Complacency? And out Guest, Manual Blay – The Dow Theory.com  – Newsletter – Home of the Schannep & Blay Timing Indicators Manuel Blay is the editor of TheDowTheory.com, a […]

TDI Podcast: Cyber Trading U (#832)
Unemployment rate is up. Oil is Up. Stocks are Up!! Yields are up too! Guest- Fausto Pugliese – Cyber Trading University Fausto Pugliese was an original “SOES Bandit” day traders in the early 1990’s and was one of the first independent traders to take advantage of the Direct Access Trading technology. He acquired a wealth […]

TDI Podcast: Bad IRA Advice (#831)
Squirrely market conditions continue – and its just getting started Deadline October 1st – Another political drama brewing… An inside look at terrible investing idea involving variable annuities. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz  Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (TSLA), (DKS), (M)

TDI Podcast: The Ozempic Economy (#830)
Market action is going from bad to worse. Wondering about inflation – yes inflation. Another government shutdown looms – what happens next? And our guest – Ed Easterling of Crestmont Research Ed Easterling is the founder and President of Crestmont Holdings, an Oregon-based investment management and research firm that publishes provocative research on the financial […]

TDI Podcast: Silver Linings (#829)
48 hours in Nashville. Mega-Caps puke up some of the recent gains – then try for a little run. Potential for reflation – watch for that word…  Not seeing and significant drop in CPI. Our Guest today is Lou Basanese – President of Public Ventures, LLC. Lou is a well-known thought leader and advocate for […]

TDI Podcast: Navigating Discipline (#828)
The USA debt rating is CUT! Most earnings are out and we have the results. Weekly oil inventories – largest draw-down EVER! Guest – Cullen Roch founder of Discipline Funds, helps us navigate risk. Mr. Roche founded Discipline Funds to help investors obtain access to low fee, diversified portfolios that help them stay the course […]

TDI Podcast: Silent Barks (#827)
Bank of Japan spooks investors. DJIA breaks it winning streak – almost had the all-time record. News to use, valuations to value. Guests, David Gaffen (Reuters) and Vitaly Katsenelson (IMA) David Gaffen is the U.S. breaking news companies editor at Reuters, where he has worked for 14 years. He also did stints as the U.S. […]

TDI Podcast: Tech Washing (#826)
The AI tech wash is getting old. Earnings in and so far, no surprises. One sell off day in a sea of buying. A recap of my discussion with Goldman Sachs. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz  Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AAPL), (MSFT), (NFLX), (TSLA), (SCHWB), (BAC), (JPM)

TDI Podcast: A High Bar (#825)
Its that time again – earnings season is upon us. Markets in a new bull run – getting a little frothy though… Inflation is Only 3% Now – but that is against the high watermark and our guest, Patrick O’Hare – Chief Market Analyst for Briefing.com. Patrick has been with Briefing.com since 1997 and authors […]

DHUnplugged #659: Summer Doldrums
Make it or break it time – earnings season is right ahead… Fed heads – 8 speakers this week. Tesla – blows away delivery estimates – what that means for profitability. Change of direction for this currency? What the players expect. PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm Up - It is make or break - Earnings season is here - Hot weather and hot inflation - 8 Fed Speakers this week - CPI data Wednesday - expected to be soft - Base effect - Summer Doldrums but a Buying Frenzy! Market Update - Resilient - that's the word - Eco divergence as employment stays strong - Tech in the lead - But Banks ALL pass stress tests - Europe favored over US on valuations (new analyst call) - Big best on rising USD being reversed AI - Party’s over for ChatGPT Plus subscribers as OpenAI announced it has temporarily disabled the Browse with Bing beta tool from its service. - Apparently, people used the feature to completely bypass paywalls and consume content for free. - If a user specifically asks for a URL’s full text,” the AI will fulfill the request, including displaying content from paywalled articles - How did it avoid the paywall? ---- Some paywalls are simply pasted over” articles, ChatGPT could simply read the code rendering the text and display the content without a problem. META - New Threads is threat to Twitter ---Twitter has degraded severly since Musk took over (IN AH opinion) - META stock on fire, 100 million accounts created already - Twitter is threatening to sue (of course) West Wing Scandal? - White powder was found in the White House last week - Turned out to be Cocaine... - - Who leaved a stash of coke anywhere - much less the White House? Best Stock Market - This year (to date) ??? - Zimbabwe ---- 5, 10, 20% daily gains - Up 800% YTD - Argentina up only 100% in 2023   Best Market 2023 FOLLOW UP - Hyper-Inflation seems to boost stock markets - Is it possible that this is the playbook that investors are using in US and other developed countries? Change of Plans - Apple is slowing its headset production and also slowing the rollout --- By appointment only? - Goldman is in talks to offload Apple credit and savings products to Amex ---- Goldman trying to rid itself of bad bet on personal/retail finance endeavor under CEO Solomon. Jobs/Employment - End of June: US weekly jobless claims post biggest drop in 20 months as economy shows stamina - July saw a slight uptick in initial claims - ADP report - HOT - 450k new jobs added to payrolls - BLS official disappointed - 200k added but Unemp Rate ticked down to 3.6% -- Jobs report still solid down to wage growth ---- Last 4 months added near 1M new jobs - not a jobs markets that is seen as being held back by rates Fed Rate Plans - Since we last spoke.... Odds are now 83% +/- of a rate hike in July - 10 year treasury over 4% - 2 year treasury over 5% - Inversion of 2/10 worst since 1980s (and holding for LONG time) -- Powell's recent commentary discussed potential for 2 more hikes and acknowledged that the inflation rate will not come to 2% target until at last 2025 ------ Note - they have never nailed a prediction for as long as time itself Meanwhile - Rates do not seem to be bothering many... --- Consumer Confidence hits 17-month high --- Housing seems to be coming back from brief dip - - Many of the homebuilders shares are at ATH China Economy - Another story - PPI inflation shrank to -5.4% below expectations - Industrial profits are in bad shape - Factory activity is in contraction for last few  months - Government pushing stimulus - targeting housing TESLA - Big print on deliveries - China also looking good - - Wondering if the deep discounts that sparked the sales will show up as hurting profits - Stock on FIRE since the start of 2023 (coincides with him  refocusing on Tesla over Twitter?) Windy - Siemens Energy shares plunged 31% on Friday morning after the company scrapped its profit forecast and warned that costly problems at its wind turbine unit could last years. - "substantial increase in failure rates of wind turbine components." - Spinoff of the former gas and power division of German conglomerate Siemens SVB - SVB Financial Approved to Sell Investment Bank Back to Founder for $100 Million (4 years ago they paid $280 million) - AND, not SVB suing FDIC to unlock the $ that it has in receivership so bank can run again - What a great deal - again! China - Yellen visits - has a good time and supposedly smooths over a few issues. - Bulgari under pressure - Put Taiwan as a separate country and now China is pissed - - Company cowered and posted this apology on its official Weibo account, saying the "mistake was due to a management error and that it "respects China's sovereignty and territorial integrity". Housing - Hitting record highs - Home prices hit a record high in May, rising 0.7% nationally compared with April at a seasonally adjusted rate, according to the Black Knight Home Price Index. - By May, just over half of the nation's 50 largest housing markets, mostly in the Midwest and Northeast, had either returned to their prior price peaks or set new highs. - Home prices are still weaker in the West and in many of the cities deemed pandemic "boom towns," which had an influx of remote workers finding new homes during the earlier days of Covid. Congress - Focus Fuzzy - U.S. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer on Sunday called on regulators to investigate a popular influencer-created energy drink with nearly twice the caffeine of a Red Bull that he said is being marketed to children. - Logan Paul's company PRIME to be investigated by FDA --- Then there is the PGA and LIIV Golf merger ------ But they cannot seem to get a budget done or figure out spending...! New tech - Applied Materials released its first major update to some of its core semiconductor manufacturing equipment in more than decade, aiming to boost the number of chips factories can make while using less energy. - The new system, called Vistara, is a central hub inside chip factories that feeds silicon discs called wafers into sealed vacuum chambers, where metals and other materials can be either deposited or stripped away within a few atoms of precision. - The Vistara system is the first update to Applied's core chipmaking platform since 2010. - The new system is also fitted with thousands of sensors that feed data into an artificial intelligence system, where factories can analyze the data to tweak manufacturing processes and cut down the use of electricity. The new system cuts energy use by about 10%, Applied said. Tech News - Microsoft confirmed Monday that it's eliminating additional jobs, a week after the start of its 2024 fiscal year.| - Judge rules that the Microsoft Activision deal can go through - Salesforce is increasing prices by about 9% on some cloud products - Threads vs. Twitter - Amazon Prime Day - 27% of jobs at risk from AI revolution ---- More than a quarter of jobs in the OECD rely on skills that could be easily automated in the coming artificial intelligence revolution, and workers fear they could lose their jobs to AI, the OECD said on Tuesday. List of AI Target Professions - Advertisement - Coders/programmers - Writers - Finance professionals -Legal workers - Researchers - Customer service - Data entry and analysis.   Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? THE WINNER CTP for PacWest Bank (PACW)   Winners will be getting great stuff like the new DHUnplugged Shirts (Designed by Jimbo) - PLUS a one-of-a-kind DHUnplugged CTP Winner's certificate.. CLICK HERE FOR MORE CHARTS ON TRADING VIEW CRYPTO LIMERICKS JCD Score () See this week’s stock picks HERE Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter

TDI Podcast: ReZ-ILL-Yence (#824)
Rates spike to decade long highs. The employment reports provide mixed messages. Resilient – that is the name of the game –  And a look back in order to look forward. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz  Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AAPL), (JPM)

TDI Podcast: Ignore It All (#823)
June is over – in the books – now the summer is finally here. Back to that question – Is this a new Bull market? We have some more info to discuss. NASDAQ 100 best 6 month start in decades! And things that were said that markets ignored. Check this out and find out more […]

TDI Podcast: Seasonality with Curzio (#822)
June coming to a close and what an interesting month it has been. Crypto coming under pressure – SEC is making moves. Inflation kicking up again around the world – wondering about US numbers. And our guest this week is Frank Curzio from Curzio Research. Frank Curzio can be reached by email at frank@curzioresearch.com Frank […]


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